The p(doom) database · person
Tim O'Neil’s p(doom)
≈0%
In their words
Tim O'Neil (Co-founder and CEO, Tether Studios (mobile games)) put their p(doom) at ≈0%, on X on Sep 12, 2026.
My p(doom) is roughly zero, but I still can't imagine the year 2030, lol.
Source · re-checked against the primary source.
"Roughly zero" recorded as ≈0%.
In context
Among independent in the database (63 people), the median is 5%. Across all 223 people it is 10%. How the medians and the index are built.
A p(doom) is a personal, subjective estimate of the probability that advanced AI ends in human extinction or a comparable, irreversible catastrophe. Scope and timeframe differ from person to person, so compare with care: why p(doom) numbers disagree.