The p(doom) database · asked and declined
Sundar Pichai’s p(doom)
?
What they said
Sundar Pichai was asked for a p(doom) on the record (Jun 5, 2025) and did not give a number.
I think I'm optimistic on the p(doom) scenarios, but that doesn't mean I think the underlying risk is actually pretty high.
Asked by Lex Fridman, who gave his own 10%; Pichai gave no number. Other lists attribute Lex's 10% to him.
Why this is here
The database records refusals as well as numbers. A refusal is not a number, so it never counts toward any median. If Sundar Pichai states a number in public, it gets a row. What p(doom) means, and the case against it.