The p(doom) database · asked and declined
Stuart Russell’s p(doom)
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What they said
Stuart Russell was asked for a p(doom) on the record (Dec 4, 2025) and did not give a number.
what's your probability of doom, your so-called P of doom number? Because that makes sense if you're an alien... if you're a human, then you're not just betting, you're actually acting.
On The Diary of a CEO; relays other people's numbers but gives none of his own.
Why this is here
The database records refusals as well as numbers. A refusal is not a number, so it never counts toward any median. If Stuart Russell states a number in public, it gets a row. What p(doom) means, and the case against it.