The p(doom) database · person
somewheresy’s p(doom)
0%
In their words
somewheresy (Engineer (pseudonymous, 29k followers)) put their p(doom) at 0%, on X on May 27, 2026.
My p(doom) is 0
Source · re-checked against the primary source.
Established pseudonym; bare statement, no context.
In context
Among independent in the database (63 people), the median is 5%. Across all 223 people it is 10%. How the medians and the index are built.
A p(doom) is a personal, subjective estimate of the probability that advanced AI ends in human extinction or a comparable, irreversible catastrophe. Scope and timeframe differ from person to person, so compare with care: why p(doom) numbers disagree.