The p(doom) database · asked and declined
Rohan Anil’s p(doom)
?
What they said
Rohan Anil was asked for a p(doom) on the record (Sep 10, 2026) and did not give a number.
No, my p(doom) is not 10%
Opening an AMA after leaving Anthropic; says what his number isn't, not what it is.
Why this is here
The database records refusals as well as numbers. A refusal is not a number, so it never counts toward any median. If Rohan Anil states a number in public, it gets a row. What p(doom) means, and the case against it.