The p(doom) database · asked and declined
Robert Miles’s p(doom)
?
What they said
Robert Miles was asked for a p(doom) on the record (Aug 17, 2022) and did not give a number.
I don't know. I think it doesn't look good. It's fair to say it doesn't look good. My mainline prediction is doom.
Asked on The Inside View; gave no number, but puts 'maybe 10% or 20%' on being wrong in the lucky direction.
Why this is here
The database records refusals as well as numbers. A refusal is not a number, so it never counts toward any median. If Robert Miles states a number in public, it gets a row. What p(doom) means, and the case against it.