The p(doom) database · person
Pascal-Emmanuel Gobry’s p(doom)
0
In their words
Pascal-Emmanuel Gobry (Writer) put their p(doom) at 0, on X on Sep 22, 2026.
My p(doom) is 0.
Source · re-checked against the primary source.
In context
Among media in the database (34 people), the median is 10%. Across all 223 people it is 10%. How the medians and the index are built.
A p(doom) is a personal, subjective estimate of the probability that advanced AI ends in human extinction or a comparable, irreversible catastrophe. Scope and timeframe differ from person to person, so compare with care: why p(doom) numbers disagree.