The p(doom) database · asked and declined
Morgan Dwyer’s p(doom)
?
What they said
Morgan Dwyer was asked for a p(doom) on the record (Oct 5, 2026) and did not give a number.
I don't know. I also don't think it matters whether it's 1% or 10% or 20% chance of something catastrophic or wrong. None of these levels is remotely acceptable.
Asked at the New York City Council hearing (Oct 5, 2026) by Speaker Julie Menin to quantify the risk of the worst-case catastrophic scenario, speaking for their company. The percentages are rhetorical, not an estimate. Quote as reported (City & State, amNY).
Why this is here
The database records refusals as well as numbers. A refusal is not a number, so it never counts toward any median. If Morgan Dwyer states a number in public, it gets a row. What p(doom) means, and the case against it.