The p(doom) database · asked and declined
Max Harms’s p(doom)
?
What they said
Max Harms was asked for a p(doom) on the record (2025) and did not give a number.
When I try to tell a concrete story of the development of superintelligence going well ... I simply fail. In that sense, my P(doom) is 100%.
Gives an inside-view 100% but refuses an all-things-considered number; calls p(doom) 'a dumb meme'.
Why this is here
The database records refusals as well as numbers. A refusal is not a number, so it never counts toward any median. If Max Harms states a number in public, it gets a row. What p(doom) means, and the case against it.