Lina Khan’s p(doom)
In their words
Lina Khan (Chair, FTC (2021–2025)) put their p(doom) at 15% (AI-caused existential catastrophe, as asked by the Hard Fork hosts), on a podcast on Nov 10, 2023.
no, no, more like 15%
Source · not yet re-checked against the primary source.
Said on NYT Hard Fork after calling herself an optimist. Quote via transcription; audio not checked directly. Asked again by POLITICO Playbook in Sept 2026, she declined through a spokesperson to give a new number.
In context
Among government in the database (5 people), the median is 7.5%. Across all 223 people it is 10%. How the medians and the index are built.
A p(doom) is a personal, subjective estimate of the probability that advanced AI ends in human extinction or a comparable, irreversible catastrophe. Scope and timeframe differ from person to person, so compare with care: why p(doom) numbers disagree.