Jensen Huang’s p(doom)
In their words
Jensen Huang (CEO, Nvidia) put their p(doom) at 0% (AI ending the world by 2030, 2030), (tv) on Sep 20, 2026.
2030 is not going to be the end of the world. There is zero percent chance that's going to be the end of the world.
Source · re-checked against the primary source.
CBS News interview with Jo Ling Kent (recorded Sept 18, aired Sept 20 on CBS Sunday Morning / Face the Nation), responding to Jacob Coxon's resignation. First explicit number; his July row was a spoken dismissal coded ≈0% with no horizon. CBS's article prints it as '0% chance'.
Every number on the record
| Date | p(doom) | Scope | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | 0% | AI ending the world by 2030 · 2030 | tv |
| Jul 23, 2026 | ≈0% | AI ending humanity | interview |
In context
Among building AI in the database (31 people), the median is 0.5%. Across all 223 people it is 10%. How the medians and the index are built.
A p(doom) is a personal, subjective estimate of the probability that advanced AI ends in human extinction or a comparable, irreversible catastrophe. Scope and timeframe differ from person to person, so compare with care: why p(doom) numbers disagree.