The p(doom) database · person
Ian Andrews’s p(doom)
0
In their words
Ian Andrews (NVIDIA (formerly CRO at Groq)) put their p(doom) at 0, on X on Sep 26, 2026.
My p(doom) is 0 but this is a Banger!
Source · re-checked against the primary source.
Said while sharing one of the "upping my p(doom)" music videos.
In context
Among building AI in the database (31 people), the median is 0.5%. Across all 223 people it is 10%. How the medians and the index are built.
A p(doom) is a personal, subjective estimate of the probability that advanced AI ends in human extinction or a comparable, irreversible catastrophe. Scope and timeframe differ from person to person, so compare with care: why p(doom) numbers disagree.