The p(doom) database · asked and declined
Hodan Omaar’s p(doom)
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What they said
Hodan Omaar was asked for a p(doom) on the record (Dec 6, 2023) and did not give a number.
The way I think about it is that my range for what p(doom) for AGI is is somewhere around what my p(doom) for other hypothetical, but yet unproven, risks are, rather than necessarily putting a number on it
Participant in Senate AI Insight Forum #8, where Schumer asked each attendee for their p(doom). Quote from her interview with Tech Policy Press. Think-tank (independent), not government.
Why this is here
The database records refusals as well as numbers. A refusal is not a number, so it never counts toward any median. If Hodan Omaar states a number in public, it gets a row. What p(doom) means, and the case against it.