The p(doom) database · asked and declined

Guillaume Verdon (Beff Jezos)’s p(doom)

?
Founder, Extropic; e/acc co-founder · asked on record, no number given

What they said

Guillaume Verdon (Beff Jezos) was asked for a p(doom) on the record (Dec 29, 2023) and did not give a number.

I'm not a fan of that calculation, I think people just throw numbers out there and it's a very sloppy calculation, right?

Source.

Asked by Lex Fridman.

Why this is here

The database records refusals as well as numbers. A refusal is not a number, so it never counts toward any median. If Guillaume Verdon (Beff Jezos) states a number in public, it gets a row. What p(doom) means, and the case against it.

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