The p(doom) database · person
Greg Meyer’s p(doom)
≈0%
In their words
Greg Meyer (Software engineer, Zinga AI) put their p(doom) at ≈0%, on X on Sep 19, 2026.
My p(doom) is essentially 0!
Source · re-checked against the primary source.
Adds: "playing it up to be nothing requires you to misrepresent it."
In context
Among building AI in the database (31 people), the median is 0.5%. Across all 223 people it is 10%. How the medians and the index are built.
A p(doom) is a personal, subjective estimate of the probability that advanced AI ends in human extinction or a comparable, irreversible catastrophe. Scope and timeframe differ from person to person, so compare with care: why p(doom) numbers disagree.