The p(doom) database · person
Emre Sokullu’s p(doom)
100%
In their words
Emre Sokullu (Developer of WebBrain, an open-source AI browser agent) put their p(doom) at 100%, on X on Oct 8, 2026.
I think abliterated models are much more likely to cause it 🥲 That's why my P(doom) is 100%. But heck, there's no stopping it now.
Source · re-checked against the primary source.
Reply about abliterated (safety-removed) open models.
In context
Among building AI in the database (37 people), the median is 0.5%. Across all 233 people it is 10%. How the medians and the index are built.
A p(doom) is a personal, subjective estimate of the probability that advanced AI ends in human extinction or a comparable, irreversible catastrophe. Scope and timeframe differ from person to person, so compare with care: why p(doom) numbers disagree.