The p(doom) database · asked and declined
Eliezer Yudkowsky’s p(doom)
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What they said
Eliezer Yudkowsky was asked for a p(doom) on the record (undated) and did not give a number.
Long-standing practice of not giving a doom number; the '>95%' on other lists has no primary source. Writes of dying 'with dignity' rather than a percentage.
Why this is here
The database records refusals as well as numbers. A refusal is not a number, so it never counts toward any median. If Eliezer Yudkowsky states a number in public, it gets a row. What p(doom) means, and the case against it.