The p(doom) database · asked and declined
Demis Hassabis’s p(doom)
?
What they said
Demis Hassabis was asked for a p(doom) on the record (Jul 23, 2025) and did not give a number.
I don't have a P-Doom number. The reason I don't is because I think it would imply a level of precision that is not there... it's definitely non-zero and it's probably non-negligible.
Asked by Lex Fridman.
Why this is here
The database records refusals as well as numbers. A refusal is not a number, so it never counts toward any median. If Demis Hassabis states a number in public, it gets a row. What p(doom) means, and the case against it.