Andrew Ng’s p(doom)
In their words
Andrew Ng (Co-founder, Google Brain and Coursera; founder, DeepLearning.AI) put their p(doom) at ≈0% ("no meaningful" risk) (human existential risk from AI), on a podcast on Oct 13, 2026.
I think there are no meaningful human existential risks from AI. So, efforts to stave off human existential risk seem unnecessary.
Source · re-checked against the primary source.
The Economist's Inside Tech interview, replayed on Babbage (Oct 14); ~9:46. Quoted verbatim by the New York Post (Oct 13). Plain words recorded as ≈0%, like LeCun and Huang.
In context
Among building AI in the database (37 people), the median is 0.5%. Across all 233 people it is 10%. How the medians and the index are built.
A p(doom) is a personal, subjective estimate of the probability that advanced AI ends in human extinction or a comparable, irreversible catastrophe. Scope and timeframe differ from person to person, so compare with care: why p(doom) numbers disagree.