The p(doom) database · asked and declined
Anatoly Yakovenko (toly)’s p(doom)
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What they said
Anatoly Yakovenko (toly) was asked for a p(doom) on the record (Sep 26, 2026) and did not give a number.
My p(doom) is 100% if humans don’t develop asi
Asked on X "so are u team p(doom) toly"; answered with the risk of not building ASI, not of AI itself. No number for AI-caused doom, so not a row.
Why this is here
The database records refusals as well as numbers. A refusal is not a number, so it never counts toward any median. If Anatoly Yakovenko (toly) states a number in public, it gets a row. What p(doom) means, and the case against it.