Ali Ghodsi’s p(doom)
In their words
Ali Ghodsi (CEO, Databricks) put their p(doom) at ≈0% (AI existential risk to humanity, present-day assessment, now), in an interview on Sep 17, 2026.
I think that right now, the existential risk is close to zero. So why freak everybody out?
Source · not yet re-checked against the primary source.
Bloomberg interview; same line on the a16z podcast Sept 18. Dismissal in words, recorded like LeCun and Huang. Primary paywalled; quote via secondary coverage.
In context
Among building AI in the database (31 people), the median is 0.5%. Across all 223 people it is 10%. How the medians and the index are built.
A p(doom) is a personal, subjective estimate of the probability that advanced AI ends in human extinction or a comparable, irreversible catastrophe. Scope and timeframe differ from person to person, so compare with care: why p(doom) numbers disagree.